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Kristof Farms's avatar

I hope you're right, John. But I worry about a downward economic spiral, as businesses leave the downtown area, tax receipts drop and services fall. That's something we've seen in other cities over the decades, and it's hard to escape. In the longer term, perhaps the best metric for where a community will be in 25 years is the state of its education system, and Portland (and Oregon) don't do well there: one of the shortest school years in the country, adjusted NAEP scores behind Mississippi's, limited early childhood programs, very low high school graduation rates, and below-average college attendance. All that said, your points about Portland's geographic advantages are sound, and I'm hoping you're right about a turnaround in '24.

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